(Oct 12) FiveThirtyEight.com now pins Joe Biden’s probability of winning at 86%, up six points from last week. The state-level probabilities each continue swinging in Biden’s direction. He’s now a 53% favorite in Ohio (up 3%) and is drawing closer to the 50% threshold in Iowa and Georgia.
More at: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/
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