Jeff Card

2024 Election Data

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Election Night Resources

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[Electoral College - phone] — [Electoral College - tablet/laptop] — [Senate Races] Key States: [Florida] — [North Carolina] — [Texas] — [Arizona] — [Ohio] — [Georgia] This year's Election Night could be like nothing we've seen before. Increased mail-in voting, and the differences in how states process their ballots, will make it more complicated for news organizations … [Read more...] about Election Night Resources

Biden Now 86% Favorite

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(Oct 12) FiveThirtyEight.com now pins Joe Biden's probability of winning at 86%, up six points from last week. The state-level probabilities each continue swinging in Biden's direction. He's now a 53% favorite in Ohio (up 3%) and is drawing closer to the 50% threshold in Iowa and Georgia. More at: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/ … [Read more...] about Biden Now 86% Favorite

Florida 2016 vs 2012

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I'll be watching Florida very closely on Election Night. This format -- populated here with 2016 vs 2012 data -- for looking at county-level data could provide some interesting insights throughout the night. Florida has a reputation for quickly processing its mail-in ballots and could therefore possibly be in a position to make a "call" on Election Night. It's a must-win … [Read more...] about Florida 2016 vs 2012

COVID-19 & Election Analysis

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If you follow me on Facebook or Twitter, you know I do a lot of analysis of the COVID-19 and 2020 election data. I'll be using this website to provide much more detailed reporting and analysis in a format that's better suited for browsing. Special requests or feedback? Don't hesitate to drop me a note at jeffcard@jeffcard.com … [Read more...] about COVID-19 & Election Analysis