(Oct 12) FiveThirtyEight.com now pins Joe Biden's probability of winning at 86%, up six points from last week. The state-level probabilities each continue swinging in Biden's direction. He's now a 53% favorite in Ohio (up 3%) and is drawing closer to the 50% threshold in Iowa and Georgia. More at: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/ … [Read more...] about Biden Now 86% Favorite
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Early Voting – 9 Million and Counting
This seems like a lot of people voting early. … [Read more...] about Early Voting – 9 Million and Counting
Florida 2016 vs 2012
I'll be watching Florida very closely on Election Night. This format -- populated here with 2016 vs 2012 data -- for looking at county-level data could provide some interesting insights throughout the night. Florida has a reputation for quickly processing its mail-in ballots and could therefore possibly be in a position to make a "call" on Election Night. It's a must-win … [Read more...] about Florida 2016 vs 2012
COVID-19 & Election Analysis
If you follow me on Facebook or Twitter, you know I do a lot of analysis of the COVID-19 and 2020 election data. I'll be using this website to provide much more detailed reporting and analysis in a format that's better suited for browsing. Special requests or feedback? Don't hesitate to drop me a note at [email protected] … [Read more...] about COVID-19 & Election Analysis
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